Reseeding the Sweet 16: Who overperformed, who underperformed?

So … Just how’s your brace? Yeah, we comprehend.

The initial 2 rounds have actually provided us historical minutes as well as thrilling victories. Bear in mind when Furman beat Virginia on a 3-pointer in the last secs on Thursday? We do not, either. Due to the fact that ever since, Fairleigh Dickinson as well as Princeton produced extra substantial troubles that promptly swiped Furman’s 15 mins of popularity.

Michigan State was affordable yet plainly flawed via Huge 10 play. Still, it’s Tom Izzo, so the Spartans remain in the Dessert 16 once more. Kansas as well as Purdue, both 1-seeds, are back residence. Huh?

Our effort to re-seed the Dessert 16 is closer to a ranking system based upon our idea of where these groups stand currently, as well as just how much our company believe they can go. The complete body of job issues, yet the existing state of a program is impactful, as well. Simply ask Arkansas, which weathered an 8-11 stretch prior to this event run.

Below is our effort to re-seed the Dessert 16:

1. Alabama Crimson Tide
Initial Seed:
No. 1. Reseed: 1

Nate Oats’ team shows up to have an equipment that maybe also Houston– the just various other continuing to be No. 1 seed in the NCAA event– may not have the ability to get to. In the 21-point gain Texas A&M-Corpus Christi on Thursday, Brandon Miller (groin injury) went scoreless as well as played simply 19 mins, yet the Crimson Trend still signed up 132 factors per 100 properties. Miller returned for Alabama’s 22-point gain Maryland in the 2nd round with 19 factors, 7 rebounds.

The Crimson Trend– 3rd in modified protective performance on KenPom– showed they can likewise play superb protection, as well. The equilibrium connected to this Alabama group is unsurpassed in university basketball today. Miller is a top-five NBA possibility on every reliable simulated draft board as well as leads a group with the ability of offending batteries as well as protective closures. It’s not unthinkable that Alabama may go through its following 2 challengers on its means to the Last 4.

Up following: vs. San Diego State (Friday, 6:30 p.m. ET, TBS)

2. Houston Cougars
Initial Seed:
No. 1. Reseed: 1

Houston may not be one hundred percent yet Jamal Shead (knee) as well as Marcus Sasser (groin) both added in the second-round gain Auburn on Saturday– reigniting the Cougars’ hopes of coming to be the initial host college in Last 4 background to really play in the Last 4. Down 10 factors at halftime, Houston demonstrated how harmful it can be when it is (mainly) healthy and balanced as it outscored the Tigers 50-23 in the 2nd fifty percent. Sasser hammered out nasty difficulty yet still took care of to rack up 22 factors in 31 mins. Shead (10 factors) had his battles yet played 34 mins. Tramon Mark (26 factors) signed up with Sasser as the initial duo in Houston background to rack up 20 factors or even more in the NCAA event because 1984.

It was a leading, come-from-behind initiative by a Cougars group that is worthy of all the Last 4 buzz that appeared to decrease when Sasser re-aggravated his groin injury in Thursday’s gain Northern Kentucky in the preliminary. Houston is back on its perch.

Up following: vs. Miami (Friday, 7:15 p.m. ET, CBS)

3. UCLA Bruins
Initial Seed:
No. 2. Reseed: 1

Towards completion of Saturday’s gain Northwestern, Mick Cronin floated over David Singleton (9.1 PPG, 43% from the 3-point line) after the sharpshooter as well as starter endured an ankle joint injury. At this moment, the injury pest seems UCLA’s biggest danger. Jaylen Clark, the Pac-12 Protective Gamer of the Year, has actually been out because the seminar event; Adem Bona, a first-class hire, returned after 2 video games out because of a shoulder injury to bet Northwestern.

Yet, Cronin’s group remains to get over those difficulties. Just how? Jaime Jaquez Jr. (21.5 PPG, 17-for-28 inside the arc, 40% from 3 in the NCAA event), the forecasted All-American, has actually been among the leading gamers in the postseason so far. Luxury hire Amari Bailey (15.5 PPG in 2 NCAA event video games) has actually become an extra regular racking up danger. As Well As Tyger Campbell has simply 2 turn overs in UCLA’s previous 4 video games. That’s just how.

Up following: vs. TCU/Gonzaga (Thursday, 9:45 p.m. ET, CBS)

4. Texas Longhorns
Initial Seed:
No. 2. Reseed: 1

When Chris Beard was discharged in January, Rodney Terry was extensively considered as a short-term option for a Texas opening that has actually been connected to several of the most significant names in university basketball. Terry was simply the individual up until Texas discovered the following individual, right?

Terry had various other strategies. The Longhorns’ go to the Dessert 16– their initial because 2008– need to provide him the within track on safeguarding that task completely. This Texas group was considered as a prospective Last 4 group before the period. Terry has actually aided this program on the course to get to that ceiling, as well as he is worthy of credit report– as well as an agreement– for that. Saturday’s triumph over Penn State 71-66 on Saturday showcased the deepness of this group. Timmy Allen’s protection on Jalen Pickett (5-for-13, 11 factors) restricted the All-American’s influence. Dylan Disu (28 factors, 10 rebounds) lugged his group on infraction. Over the previous month, Texas is 8-2 (consisting of 2 gain Kansas). If the Longhorns play similar to this moving forward, they’ll have an opportunity to reach the Last 4 for the very first time in two decades.

Up following: vs. Xavier (Friday, 9:45 p.m. ET, CBS)

5. UConn Huskies
Initial Seed:
No. 4. Reseed: 2

With UConn’s initial 2 video games, there have actually been several minutes where the cam has actually concentrated on Adama Sanogo waiting on the bench to face the video game as well as create chaos. Sanogo has actually been one of the most leading pressure in the initial weekend break of the NCAA event. His numbers reviewed like they’re from an Xbox video game: 28 factors (13-for-17), 13 rebounds as well as a block versus Iona; 24 factors (11-for-16), 8 rebounds as well as a block versus Saint Mary’s. Connecticut won its initial 2 NCAA event video games by a margin of 39 factors integrated as an outcome of those efficiencies. The Huskies are likewise 22-for-47 from the 3-point line. They’re getting a great deal of offending rebounds as well as both Iona as well as Saint Mary’s signed up simply 95 factors per 100 properties versus their protective stress. Dan Hurley’s team is playing some championship-level basketball today.

Up following: vs. Arkansas (Thursday, 7:15 p.m. ET, CBS)

6. Tennessee Volunteers
Initial Seed:
No. 4. Reseed: 2

Lengthy prior to toughness as well as conditioning programs in university basketball came to be stylish, Rick Barnes had actually devoted to creating an unequaled degree of physicality within his programs. Rated initially in modified protective performance on KenPom, Tennessee’s energy added to its 65-52 second-round gain Duke— which had actually won 10 video games straight– as well as the program’s 7th journey to the Dessert 16 because 2000. Fight it out, a top-10 offending recoiling group in America, safeguarded simply 21% of its second-chance possibilities versus the Vols. As Well As 6-foot-9, 236-pound Olivier Nkamhoua (27 factors) harassed heaven Devils, specifically in the 2nd fifty percent.

Turn Overs had actually been a problem adhering to Zakai Ziegler’s season-ending injury, yet the Vols devoted simply 9 versus Fight it out. If this plodding, enforcing, protective juggernaut remains to play a sensible brand name of basketball, Barnes can get to the Elite 8 for the very first time because the 2007-08 period when he went to Texas.

Up following: vs. FAU (Thursday, 9 p.m. ET, TBS)

7. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Initial Seed:
No. 3. Reseed: 2

Throughout their 11-game winning touch, the Bulldogs have actually won each video game by approximately 18.4 PPG. While they do not have a Jalen Suggs, Chet Holmgren or one more forecasted lotto game choice, their offending ceiling enables them to divide themselves, also in limited video games. Down the stretch versus an unrelenting TCU team on Sunday, Gonzaga looked to Drew Timme as well as likewise played strongly around the edge to break out toss efforts.

It functioned, as well as currently Gonzaga is back in the Dessert 16 for the 8th year straight. This is an elite group that’s improving at the correct time. It’s likewise the most awful Gonzaga protection in 16 years. That can be a trouble for a group with lots of offending benefits, as well as a difference-maker figured out to obtain them to the 3rd weekend break.

Up following: vs. UCLA (Thursday, 9:45 p.m. ET, CBS)

8. Kansas State Wildcats
Initial Seed:
No. 3. Reseed: 2

Jerome Flavor thought Kansas State had a possibility to start an instant turn-around last summer season, when he left Baylor– where he was associate head trainer as well as won a nationwide title with the Bears in 2021. He was right. With Keyontae Johnson getting here from Florida as well as Markquis Nowell returning for one more run, he had a set of supports that billed this group’s initial go to the Dessert 16 because 2018.

Nowell specifically has actually been an enigma for opposing backcourts so far. His playmaking capability as well as success with pick-and-roll scenarios make Kansas State an obstacle for any type of protection. He has actually likewise fired 43% from 3 in the NCAA event. And also, the Wildcats took apart the offending rhythms of both Montana State as well as Kentucky, a set of groups that devoted turn overs on 23% of their properties versus them. Flavor’s team has a high degree of self-confidence going into the Dessert 16. It’s simple to see why.

Up following: vs. Michigan State (Thursday, 6:30 p.m. ET, TBS)

9. Xavier Musketeers
Initial Seed:
No. 3. Reseed: 3

Timing issues. A group that needs to take care of a significant injury simply before the beginning of the NCAA event– see: Kansas’ loss to Arkansas in the 2nd round with Expense Self sidelined for several video games adhering to heart surgical procedure– may have difficulty changing in time to discover itself once again. Yet Xavier shed Zach Freemantle (15.2 PPG, 8.1 RPG) to a season-ending foot injury Feb. 1. While it was a destructive loss for the program, it occurred early sufficient for Sean Miller to reconfigure his schedules.

Jerome Hunter, Freemantle’s substitute in the beginning schedule, is balancing 19 PPG (14-for-21 inside the arc) via 2 NCAA event video games. As well as a Xavier team that has actually shed simply one video game because Feb. 21 (7-1) held Kennesaw State as well as Pitt to approximately 94 factors per 100 properties. Yet the Musketeers will certainly need to beat far better competitors to get to the Last 4.

Up following: vs. Texas (Friday, 9:45 p.m. ET, CBS)

10. Creighton Bluejays
Initial Seed:
No. 6. Reseed: 3

Selected to win the Big East before a rough beginning this period, Creighton is showcasing the convenience that has actually made the Bluejays a genuine championship game challenger. Ryan Nembhard, bro of Indiana Pacers standout Andrew Nembhard, had 30 factors versus Baylor as his group made 46% of its 3-point efforts Sunday. On Friday, when the Bluejays completed 3-for-20 from past the arc in their gain NC State, Ryan Kalkbrenner, a 7-foot-1 celebrity that has actually made 73% of his shots inside the arc, completed with 31 factors.

The Bluejays have a varied infraction that counts on dimension, equilibrium as well as the warm hand. After Creighton stumbled early in the period, it was simple to question its postseason ambitions. Yet the Bluejays are 14-4 in their previous 18 video games after getting to the Dessert 16 for simply the 2nd time because 1974.

Up following: vs. Princeton (Friday, 9 p.m. ET, TBS)

11. Arkansas Razorbacks
Initial Seed:
No. 8. Reseed: 3

From Dec. 28 to March 4, Arkansas went 8-11 as well as made simply 32% of its 3-point efforts. Yes, the Razorbacks have 3 NBA potential customers (Nick Smith Jr., Anthony Black as well as Ricky Council IV), yet Eric Musselman battled to transform that ability right into victories at the time. Shed in the discussion, nevertheless, was Arkansas’ initiative to end up being a harder protective group in the paint. Its challengers balanced simply 46% of their shots inside the arc (No. 22 in the nation) throughout those rough months.

Why does that issue? In Arkansas’ NCAA event gains Illinois as well as Kansas— causing Musselman’s 3rd successive Dessert 16 look at Arkansas– the Illini as well as the Jayhawks signed up a 49% clip integrated inside the arc. Illinois (55%) as well as Kansas (53%) dropped listed below their corresponding standards versus an Arkansas group that’s even more major regarding protection nowadays. That, plus the introduction of gamers like Davonte Davis (21 factors in the 2nd fifty percent versus Kansas), indicates the Razorbacks currently resemble a Last 4 sleeper energetic as well as nerve, as well as with a trouble of a No. 1 seed on their résumé.

Up following: vs. UConn (Thursday, 7:15 p.m. ET, CBS)

12. San Diego State Aztecs
Initial Seed:
No. 5. Reseed: 3

In their 75-52 gain Furman on Saturday, SDSU head trainer Brian Dutcher counteracted the group (the Paladins were 16-for-50 from the area) that distressed Virginia. That’s been the standard for among America’s ideal protective groups. The Aztecs’ possibility to advancement to the Elite 8 as well as possibly past fixate their protective expertise. Throughout its existing six-game winning touch, SDSU’s challengers have actually balanced simply 85 factors per 100 properties. For context, Tennessee– placed initially in modified protective performance on KenPom– held its SEC challengers to 92.6 factors per 100 properties this period.

SDSU, which fires 60.5% from inside the arc, likewise obtained rolling on infraction versus Furman. If Matt Bradley (among 4 double-digit markers Saturday) & & Co. remain to play protection at this degree as well as discover means to obtain containers, they’ll be a challenging challenger to fix.

Worth keeping in mind? A Charleston– Furman course to the Dessert 16 was the simplest in the area.

Up following: vs. Alabama (Friday, 6:30 p.m. ET, TBS)

13. Miami Hurricanes
Initial Seed:
No. 5. Reseed: 4

Miami got a considerable increase with the accessibility of Norchad Omier, that was suspicious for the NCAA event after enduring an ankle joint injury in the ACC event. Yet he was removed as well as currently has 19 factors as well as 31 rebounds via 2 NCAA event video games.

Isaiah Wong (27 factors versus the Hoosiers) remains to sustain a Miami group that got to the Dessert 16 for the 5th time in college background with its gain Indiana on Sunday. The last ACC group in the area pressed the speed versus Drake as well as IU, as well as will certainly try to do the exact same in the Dessert 16. Miami’s protection has actually been a worry all period (108th in modified protective performance on KenPom) yet it has actually likewise played several of the very best protection of this period over the last pair days. If this comes to be the standard, a team that flaunts among America’s the majority of powerful offending assaults (37% from the 3-point line, 54% inside the arc) will certainly have an opportunity to get to the Elite 8 for the 2nd successive period.

Up following: vs. Houston (Friday, 7:15 p.m. ET, CBS)

14. Michigan State Spartans
Initial Seed:
No. 7. Reseed: 4

Among the motifs of any type of NCAA event that entails Tom Izzo is that you possibly should not wager versus Tom Izzo. A lot of carried out in his group’s match versus Marquette, the Big East routine period as well as event champ, on Sunday. That was a blunder. Currently, Izzo gets on his means to his 15th Dessert 16 regardless of leading a Michigan State team that does not have the NBA ability that has actually specified several of his ideal groups.

Tyson Walker has actually declined to produce in this NCAA event. He hasn’t devoted a turn over via 2 video games, as well as he has actually balanced 17.5 PPG. That’s the sort of management Izzo counted on previous NCAA events. Believe Mateen Cleaves, Kalin Lucas, Denzel Valentine as well as various other solid guards that aided the Spartans bloom in the dancing. The Spartans have actually linked on 55% of their shots inside the arc in this year’s, as well as restricted both USC as well as Marquette’s second-chance possibilities. Izzo is outcoaching his peers today as well as his group is outworking their own, as well.

Up following: vs. Kansas State (Thursday, 6:30 p.m. ET, TBS)

15. Princeton Tigers
Initial Seed:
No. 15. Reseed: 4

After enduring losses to groups like Delaware (234th on KenPom), Brownish (173rd) as well as Dartmouth (260th), there were no signs the Ivy Organization regular-season as well as event champs would certainly in some way make a go to their initial Dessert 16 look because 1967. Yet the Princeton Tigers have actually highlighted the magic of March as a 15-seed that beat 2-seed Arizona as well as 7-seed Missouri to accomplish the accomplishment.

Can they maintain the energy going? Mitch Henderson’s capability to manage the pace in the NCAA event has actually functioned thus far. In spite of Arizona leading by dual numbers late on Thursday, the Wildcats could not expand the lead since Princeton dipped into such a systematic speed. Missouri had a comparable concern– it tried to run away a double-digit opening in the 2nd fifty percent yet could not obtain the added properties required to reduce right into Princeton’s lead Saturday. Princeton has actually balanced simply 8.8 turn overs per video game throughout its six-game winning touch, as well. This regimented group is still a hazard for one more distress.

Up following: vs. Creighton (Friday, 9 p.m. ET, TBS)

16. Florida Atlantic Owls
Initial Seed:
No. 9. Reseed: 4

Often the NCAA event has to do with the arbitrary advancements that lead the way to the 2nd weekend break. That occurred for FAU. Memphis gamers quarrelled in the last mins of the Owls’ win in the preliminary. As well as rather than dealing with 1-seed Purdue in the 2nd, they played Fairleigh Dickinson, which was placed 298th on KenPom before the second-ever 16-over-1 distressed versus the Boilermakers.

On their means to the initial Dessert 16 in college background– they won their initial NCAA event video game this year, as well– Dirty May’s team signed up 108.5 factors per 100 properties, as well as simply 16 turn overs, in 2 video games. Johnell Davis (20.5 PPG in the NCAA event) has actually been a treasure for a group that will certainly be treasured on that particular university for life. Certain, good luck aided FAU get to the 2nd weekend break. Yet the Owls have actually made this as well.

Up following: vs. Tennessee (Friday, 9 p.m. ET, TBS)

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